Monday, April 30, 2012

RBA to lower rates

The RBA will need to lower rates when they next meet now that the 90 day bill rate has fallen below the cash rate target. The 90 day rate is 4.08% versus the cash rate target of 4.25% and a 0.25% reduction is now justified.

Tuesday, April 3, 2012

XAO Short Term Update

The wave count has been updated slightly to take into consideration an 'anomaly' - well, I did say triangles have a habit for tricking. It appears a triangle has unfolded as a wave within the larger triangle itself - thus delaying the commencement of  wave 'd' down. Time wise, wave 'c' can be a long wave within triangles.

Also, RBA Interest rates are on this week - cash rate target is currently at 4.25% and 90 day bill rate has come down to 4.3% (4.45% at start of March). I doubt the RBA will lower rates this month (but there's a slight possibility) since the cash rate target is still under the 90 day bill rate - not by much though. The average gap is 0.15%.