XAO Short Term Update

Alternate count 1 with a Flat for Wave (B) is still in a good position since wave 'B' has almost met the start of wave 'A' before retracing downwards. Wave 'C' needs to fall to 4620 which is 61.8% of 'A' or retrace 'B' completely to 4350. Once complete, the next leg up need to occur and move to a new intermediate term high.

This count is still based on Alternate count 1 here, but with  much longer drawn out flat.

Wave 'C' needs to unfold downwards in a 5 wave move (or possibly as an ending diagonal). Time to complete wave 'C' could be very quick or drawn out if it's an ending diagonal pattern.

Alternative count 2. This count is still valid (as shown here) but I'm not convinced that this is a wave '2' since the proportions of time are exaggerated for wave '2' development v's wave '1'. If the XAO drives down thru the 4350 level with ease, then it may be time to re-evaluate this particular count.

Fibonacci time relationships are apparent between wave 'A' and wave 'B', with wave 'A' taking just a little over 76.8% of wave 'B'. Wave 'C' will probably complete more quickly than 'A'

XAO Alternate count 1

The XAO has clawed it's way close to the high seen in April 2010 and an area of high resistance - 5000. What is apparent is the wave structure since April 2010 seems to represent a flat correction with wave (C) yet to complete. This would also overcome the very slight wave overlap issue discussed sometime back. The triangle that ends wave 'A' of the flat also ties in well with the overall interpretation for a 3-3-5 flat.

A push down to 4350 for wave 'C' is the next move under this wave count before heading to new medium term highs. Wave 'C' will need to be a 5 wave decline.

Obviously the Head and Shoulders pattern discussed sometime back also appears to be invalid.